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2.This paper make an demonstrate study on the validity of money supply M2 to output of Chinese monetary policies,which is based on quarter date from 1992 to 2005 by using ADF test,Granger tes,VAR model and IRF model. It points out that M2 as the middle target of monetary policies can work on the output. At last,we evaluate and analysis the reasonable policies of M2 as the middle target of monetary policies,and give some suggestions on this issue.
运用计量经济学方法对广义货币供应量M2与GDP的时间序列变量进行ADF检验,格兰杰因果检验,然后建立VAR模型和脉冲响应函数(IRF),分析以M2作为货币政策的中介目标对产出GDP的效应,最后对以M2作为中介目标的合理性进行评价和分析,并提出加强M2作为货币政策中介目标对产出更为有效的相关建议。收藏指正
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